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Bitcoin post-halving supply will be 5x lower than demand, Bitfinex estimates

BlockChainGuardian Staff

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Bitcoin post-halving supply will be 5x lower than demand, Bitfinex estimates

Bitcoins (BTC) The recent halving of mining rewards has altered the market in such a way that it could potentially lead to demand for cryptocurrencies being five times greater than supply, according to the latest projection from analysts at cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex.

On Saturday, the block reward paid to miners was halved, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. According to Bitfinex, the halving of rewards means that the notional value of the total number of new coins added daily to the supply could drop to $30 million. This is a significant decrease, equivalent to five times less than the average daily demand for US spot ETFs.

“With the daily issuance rate dropping post-halving, we estimate that new supply added to the market (new BTC mined) would equate to approximately $40-$50 million in notional dollar terms based on issuance trends. Expect- “If anything, this will likely drop over time to $30 million per day, including active and inactive supply, as well as miner sales, especially as smaller miner operations are forced to close their doors,” Bitfinex analysts said in a report shared with CoinDesk.

“Average daily net inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs exceed this number by more than $150 million, although inflows have moderated and even turned net negative in recent weeks,” analysts added.

The supply squeeze has already begun. Since the halving, the total number of new coins added daily to the supply has fallen to 450 BTC (nearly $30 million) from the four-year average before the halving of around 900 BTC, data from Glassnode shows.

Nearly a dozen spot ETFs began trading in the U.S. on Jan. 11, allowing investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrency without owning it. Bitfinex is assuming that the average daily inflows into ETFs since inception will remain constant over the next few months.

While it remains to be seen whether this will happen, miner sales could slow down. Miners or entities responsible for minting coins ran over its coin stash in the months leading up to the halving to fund equipment upgrades to ensure the sustainability of operations after the halving. Data tracked by Glassnode show that in the six months leading up to the halving, the number of coins held in wallets linked to miners fell by more than 18,000 BTC, to 1.82 million BTC.

Lastly, according to Bitfinex, investors are again increasingly taking direct custody of their coins, weakening the supply side of the market.

“Current on-chain data indicates that Bitcoin exchange outflows are reaching peaks not seen since January 2023, suggesting that many investors are moving their holdings into cold storage in anticipation of price increases,” Bitfinex analysts said.

“Meanwhile, active selling by long-term holders has not yet precipitated the typical pre-halving price drop, indicating robust absorption of this selling pressure by new market entrants,” the analysts added.

Bitcoin changed hands at $66,660 at press time, up more than 5% since the halving, defying expectations of a price correction. The CoinDesk 20 Index, a broader market gauge, rose nearly 7%, CoinDesk data shows.

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Bitcoin

‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

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'This is huge' — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues 'incredible' Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.

Subscribe now to Forbes CryptoAsset and Blockchain Consultant and “discover blockchain blockbusters poised to generate 1,000%+ gains” after the bitcoin halving earthquake!

The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.

Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.

Sign up for free CryptoCodex nowA daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors, and crypto curious people that will keep you up to date and ahead of the bitcoin and crypto bull market

ForbesElon Musk Suddenly Breaks His Silence On Bitcoin After Issuing Shocking Warning Of US Dollar “Doom” That Could Trigger Cryptocurrency Price BoomBy Billy Bambrough

Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.

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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.

“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.

“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”

John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”

Sign up for CryptoCodex now—A free daily newsletter for the crypto-curious

ForbesCryptocurrencies Are Suddenly Bracing For A ‘Very Major’ U-Turn In China After Wild Price Swings For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRPBy Billy Bambrough

Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.

Forbes Digital Assets

Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.

According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”

The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.

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MicroStrategy’s Cash Flow Amid Bitcoin Rally Raises Some Eyebrows

BlockChainGuardian Staff

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MicroStrategy’s Cash Flow Amid Bitcoin Rally Raises Some Eyebrows

Analysts are starting to pay more attention than usual to Bitcoin-proxy’s underlying enterprise software business MicroStrategy Inc.

How to better invest cash generated from operations is what originally prompted co-founder and CEO Michael Saylor to turn to Bitcoin four years ago. Since then, the Tysons Corner, Va.-based company has adopted a two-pronged strategy of investing in the cryptocurrency instead of traditional assets like short-term Treasuries and ramping up its software operations.

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Large Bitcoin (BTC) Holders Added $5.4 Billion Worth of BTC in July, Data Shows

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Large Bitcoin (BTC) Holders Added $5.4 Billion Worth of BTC in July, Data Shows

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CoinDesk is a awarded media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists follow a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk has been acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Optimistica regulated digital asset exchange. The Bullish Group is majority owned by Block.one; both companies have interests CoinDesk has a portfolio of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial board to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Hits Six-Week High After Trump’s Pro-Crypto Speech

BlockChainGuardian Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC) Hits Six-Week High After Trump’s Pro-Crypto Speech

Bitcoin has retreated from a six-week high as investors shift their focus to speculation the U.S. may sell seized tokens just days after Donald Trump vowed to create a government stockpile of the cryptocurrency if he is elected president again.

The US transferred $2 billion worth of Bitcoin to a new digital wallet address on Monday, blockchain research firm Arkham said in a publish on social media platform X. Market analysis firms have speculated that the tokens are from the Silk Road marketplace, where customers used virtual currencies to buy illegal drugs and hacking tools before it was shut down.

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