Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s Mt. Gox Swings Add to Signs of Shaky Crypto Recovery
(Bloomberg) — Bitcoin fell again on concerns about possible sales of the token by creditors of bankrupt exchange Mt. Gox, fueling doubts about the remaining momentum in the cryptocurrency rally that began last year.
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The largest digital asset fell as much as 5.2% on Monday to $54,313, about $19,000 below its March record high. Smaller tokens such as Solana and Cardano traded higher.
Tokyo-based Mt. Gox, which went bankrupt a decade ago after being hacked, is returning about $8 billion worth of Bitcoin to creditors in stages, highlighting the potential for a supply wall to enter the market. Some industry participants said cryptocurrency market makers are not trying to minimize wild price swings.
“Momentum traders have taken over the market, and market makers are not stepping in to balance the flows,” said Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at Arca. “That’s why we’re seeing violent moves in both directions right now.”
Sentiment has also been hurt by signs of German government disposals of seized Bitcoin, as well as slowing inflows into dedicated U.S. exchange-traded funds. Skepticism is growing over predictions from digital asset faithful that the original cryptocurrency is still on track to hit $100,000.
The charts below analyze the outlook for Bitcoin following a more than 20% pullback in the token from its all-time high in Q1.
Technical test
Speculators are scouring charts for patterns that could signal an end to Bitcoin’s slide. Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty, flagged the 200-day moving average. A sustained rise above that mark would be an indication that Friday’s intraday low of around $53,600 was a “capitulation,” he wrote in a note.
Prolonged losses
Bitcoin stumbled on Monday with an inauspicious drop. If the pullback lasts through Sunday, the token would post five straight weeks of declines, its longest losing streak since the 2022 digital asset bear market. There is a risk of a “sharp drop” in prices until the Federal Reserve starts easing monetary policy, said Stefan von Haenisch, head of trading at OSL SG Pte.
Not so exceptional
By early 2024, Bitcoin’s year-to-date gain had reached nearly 70%, far outpacing traditional assets like stocks. Now, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is closer to matching the token. Sell-offs typically punctuate Bitcoin bull markets, and the long-term outlook remains positive, said Khushboo Khullar, a venture partner at Lightning Ventures, which invests in Bitcoin-linked companies.
The story continues
Spot ETF flows
Surprisingly strong demand for inaugural U.S. Bitcoin ETFs fueled the digital asset’s record-breaking surge earlier this year. Inflows have moderated since then, and one question is whether recent weakness will spook ETF investors. But on Friday at least, they appeared to buy the dip, posting the strongest net inflow in about a month.
The Mt. Gox collapse is unlikely to trigger a sell-off by creditors, but the longer Bitcoin remains below $60,000, the greater the chances of a further price correction, said Hayden Hughes, head of cryptocurrency investments at family office Evergreen Growth in Singapore.
Betting Options
The options market suggests that some investors see Bitcoin’s dip as temporary: the largest concentration of bullish bets is around a $100,000 strike price, according to data from Deribit. This could reflect expectations of looser monetary settings from the Fed in the coming months and the momentum behind pro-crypto Donald Trump’s bid to become U.S. president again.
Caroline Mauron, co-founder of digital asset derivatives liquidity provider Orbit Markets, expects cryptocurrencies to follow suit with global markets ahead of testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and U.S. inflation data, which are due out this week and could influence monetary policy projections.
–With the help of Olga Kharif.
(Updates with comments in fourth paragraph.)
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Bitcoin
‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump
Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.
The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.
Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.
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Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.
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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.
“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.
“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”
John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”
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Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.
Forbes Digital Assets
Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.
According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”
The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.
Bitcoin
MicroStrategy’s Cash Flow Amid Bitcoin Rally Raises Some Eyebrows
Analysts are starting to pay more attention than usual to Bitcoin-proxy’s underlying enterprise software business MicroStrategy Inc.
How to better invest cash generated from operations is what originally prompted co-founder and CEO Michael Saylor to turn to Bitcoin four years ago. Since then, the Tysons Corner, Va.-based company has adopted a two-pronged strategy of investing in the cryptocurrency instead of traditional assets like short-term Treasuries and ramping up its software operations.
Bitcoin
Large Bitcoin (BTC) Holders Added $5.4 Billion Worth of BTC in July, Data Shows
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) Hits Six-Week High After Trump’s Pro-Crypto Speech
Bitcoin has retreated from a six-week high as investors shift their focus to speculation the U.S. may sell seized tokens just days after Donald Trump vowed to create a government stockpile of the cryptocurrency if he is elected president again.
The US transferred $2 billion worth of Bitcoin to a new digital wallet address on Monday, blockchain research firm Arkham said in a publish on social media platform X. Market analysis firms have speculated that the tokens are from the Silk Road marketplace, where customers used virtual currencies to buy illegal drugs and hacking tools before it was shut down.
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